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Race2026 cycle · RunoffsElection day 3 Nov 2026Updated

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DonorAlpha, “Alaska At-Large general 2026”, https://donoralpha.com/races/alaska-at-large-general-2026?e=c2026&el=runoff, updated .

Alaska At-Large general 2026

No. 36 of 527 House races in the 2026 cycle

This race is in the 2026 general election.

The short version

In the 2026 Alaska At-Large general election, 11 outside groups spent $6.9M: $1.6M supporting Nick Begich III (R), $2.8M opposing Nick Begich III, $960K supporting Bill Hill (I) and $1.5M opposing Bill Hill.

$6.9M

outside money

supporting Nick Begich III (R)
$1.6M
opposing Nick Begich III (R)
$2.8M
supporting Bill Hill (I)
$960K
opposing Bill Hill (I)
$1.5M

Result not in yet

Election day is 3 Nov 2026.

  • Nick Begich III

    Republican

    Waiting for the count

  • Bill Hill

    Independent

    Waiting for the count

  • Eric Hafner

    Democrat

    Waiting for the count

Outside money supporting and opposing each candidate

Both sides on one scale
← OpposingSupporting →

  • Nick Begich III Republican

    $2.8M
    $1.6M

    $1.6M supporting Nick Begich III · $2.8M opposing Nick Begich III

  • Bill Hill Independent

    $1.5M
    $960K

    $960K supporting Bill Hill · $1.5M opposing Bill Hill

  • Eric Hafner Democrat

    $45,647

    $45,647 opposing Eric Hafner

The long version

The candidates

What each candidate’s own campaign raised, beside what outside groups spent supporting and opposing them, and what party committees spent working with the campaign.

  • Nick Begich III

    Republican

    Own campaign raised
    $5.5M
    Outside money supporting
    $1.6M
    Outside money opposing
    $2.8M

    Party spending with the campaign

    $264K

    NRCC $264K

    Alaskans for Nick Begich

  • Bill Hill

    Independent

    Own campaign raised
    $1.3M
    Outside money supporting
    $960K
    Outside money opposing
    $1.5M
    Bill Hill for Alaskans

  • Eric Hafner

    Democrat

    Outside money opposing
    $45,647
  • Campaign money to 29 Jul 2026

Week by week

Outside money each week, supporting and opposing the candidates, all candidates combined.

Week of 28 Sep 2026

Supporting $1.0MOpposing $1.3M

Supporting candidatesOpposing candidates

The groups on each side

The biggest outside groups in this race, by what they spent supporting or opposing each candidate.

Spent supporting a candidate

  1. Wheel Dog PACsupporting Bill Hill$960K
  2. Club for Growth Actionsupporting Nick Begich III$689K
  3. America First Agriculture Actionsupporting Nick Begich III$378K
  4. Freedom Caucus Fundsupporting Nick Begich III$367K
  5. No Going Back PACsupporting Nick Begich III$133K
  6. Senate Conservatives Fundsupporting Nick Begich III$42

Spent opposing a candidate

  1. Club for Growth Actionopposing Bill Hill$1.2M
  2. Wheel Dog PACopposing Nick Begich III$907K
  3. Your Community PACopposing Nick Begich III$786K
  4. HMPopposing Nick Begich III$607K
  5. SEIU Copeopposing Nick Begich III$190K
  6. 907 Initiativeopposing Nick Begich III$174K
  7. 907 Initiative Actionopposing Nick Begich III$156K
  8. No Going Back PACopposing Bill Hill$136K

Who’s connected to whom

The groups that spent supporting or opposing the candidates.

Their biggest giversGroups that spentCandidatesClub for Growth Action spent $1.2M opposing Bill Hill · $1.2MWheel Dog PAC spent $960K supporting Bill Hill · $960KWheel Dog PAC spent $907K opposing Nick Begich III · $907KYour Community PAC spent $786K opposing Nick Begich III · $786KClub for Growth Action spent $689K supporting Nick Begich III · $689KHMP spent $607K opposing Nick Begich III · $607KAmerica First Agriculture Action spent $378K supporting Nick Begich III · $378KFreedom Caucus Fund spent $367K supporting Nick Begich III · $367KSEIU Cope spent $190K opposing Nick Begich III · $190KNo Going Back PAC spent $136K opposing Bill Hill · $136KNo Going Back PAC spent $133K supporting Nick Begich III · $133KFreedom Caucus Fund spent $122K opposing Bill Hill · $122KWheel Dog PAC spent $45,647 opposing Eric Hafner · $45,647Restoration of America PAC gave $2.5M to Club for Growth Action · $2.5MFiberglass Inc., Champion gave $200K to Club for Growth Action · $200KSixteen Thirty Fund gave $400K to Wheel Dog PAC · $400KContours, Inc. gave $300K to Wheel Dog PAC · $300KSixteen Thirty Fund gave $2.7M to Your Community PAC · $2.7MNorth Fund gave $900K to Your Community PAC · $900KHouse Majority Forward gave $61.7M to HMP · $61.7MAmerican Opportunity Action gave $4.0M to HMP · $4.0MFreedom Caucus Alliance gave $135K to Freedom Caucus Fund · $135KLet's Get to Work PAC gave $84,000 to Freedom Caucus Fund · $84,000Trulieve Inc gave $2.5M to America First Agriculture Action · $2.5MCuraleaf Inc. gave $2.5M to America First Agriculture Action · $2.5MRestoration of America PACRestoration of America PACCompany or group · $2.5MFiberglass Inc., ChampionFiberglass Inc., ChampionCompany or group · $200KSixteen Thirty FundSixteen Thirty FundCompany or group · $400KContours, Inc.Contours, Inc.Company or group · $300KNorth FundNorth FundCompany or group · $900KHouse Majority ForwardHouse Majority ForwardCompany or group · $61.7MAmerican Opportunity ActionAmerican Opportunity ActionCompany or group · $4.0MFreedom Caucus AllianceFreedom Caucus AllianceCompany or group · $135KLet's Get to Work PACLet's Get to Work PACCompany or group · $84,000Trulieve IncTrulieve IncCompany or group · $2.5MCuraleaf Inc.Curaleaf Inc.Company or group · $2.5MClub for Growth ActionClub for Growth ActionGroup · $1.9MWheel Dog PACWheel Dog PACGroup · $1.9MYour Community PACYour Community PACGroup · $786KHMPHMPGroup · $607KFreedom Caucus FundFreedom Caucus FundGroup · $489KAmerica First AgricultureActionAmerica First Agriculture ActionGroup · $378KNo Going Back PACNo Going Back PACGroup · $269KSEIU CopeSEIU CopeGroup · $190KNick Begich IIINick Begich IIICandidate · $4.4MBill HillBill HillCandidate · $2.5MEric HafnerEric HafnerCandidate · $45,647
  • Club for Growth Action spent opposing Bill Hill · $1.2M
  • Wheel Dog PAC spent supporting Bill Hill · $960K
  • Wheel Dog PAC spent opposing Nick Begich III · $907K
  • Your Community PAC spent opposing Nick Begich III · $786K
  • Club for Growth Action spent supporting Nick Begich III · $689K
  • HMP spent opposing Nick Begich III · $607K
  • America First Agriculture Action spent supporting Nick Begich III · $378K
  • Freedom Caucus Fund spent supporting Nick Begich III · $367K
  • SEIU Cope spent opposing Nick Begich III · $190K
  • No Going Back PAC spent opposing Bill Hill · $136K
  • No Going Back PAC spent supporting Nick Begich III · $133K
  • Freedom Caucus Fund spent opposing Bill Hill · $122K
  • Wheel Dog PAC spent opposing Eric Hafner · $45,647
  • Restoration of America PAC gave to Club for Growth Action · $2.5M
  • Fiberglass Inc., Champion gave to Club for Growth Action · $200K
  • Sixteen Thirty Fund gave to Wheel Dog PAC · $400K
  • Contours, Inc. gave to Wheel Dog PAC · $300K
  • Sixteen Thirty Fund gave to Your Community PAC · $2.7M
  • North Fund gave to Your Community PAC · $900K
  • House Majority Forward gave to HMP · $61.7M
  • American Opportunity Action gave to HMP · $4.0M
  • Freedom Caucus Alliance gave to Freedom Caucus Fund · $135K
  • Let's Get to Work PAC gave to Freedom Caucus Fund · $84,000
  • Trulieve Inc gave to America First Agriculture Action · $2.5M
  • Curaleaf Inc. gave to America First Agriculture Action · $2.5M
GaveSpent supportingSpent opposingSwipe to see the whole map.

Group

Club for Growth Action

  • Club for Growth Action spent $1.2M opposing Bill Hill$1.2M
  • Club for Growth Action spent $689K supporting Nick Begich III$689K
  • Restoration of America PAC gave $2.5M to Club for Growth Action$2.5M
  • Fiberglass Inc., Champion gave $200K to Club for Growth Action$200K

Polls

Every poll of this race on one timeline.

The average of 3 polls to 11 Sep 2026 has Nick Begich III at 52.6% and Bill Hill at 42.9%.

3polls in the average

polls of this race
9
pollsters
4

Nick BegichBill Hill

Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research8 Sep to 11 Sep 2026 · 800 likely voters
RepublicanNick Begich57.0%
IndependentBill Hill43.0%

Point at a dot, or tab in and use the arrow keys

Every poll, newest first

  1. 11 Sep ’26Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research 8 Sep to 11 Sep 2026 · 800 likely votersNick Begich 57.0%Bill Hill 43.0%
  2. 6 Sep ’26The Bullfinch Group 1 Sep to 6 Sep 2026 · 820 likely votersNick Begich 50.3%Bill Hill 46.5%
  3. 23 Aug ’26Alaska Survey Research 20 Aug to 23 Aug 2026 · 1,872 likely votersNick Begich 50.6%Bill Hill 39.1%John Williams 5.7%Eric Hafner 4.6%
  4. 5 Aug ’26Alaska Survey Research 2 Aug to 5 Aug 2026 · 1,371 likely votersBill Hill 46.5%Nick Begich III 53.5%
  5. 5 Aug ’26Alaska Survey Research 2 Aug to 5 Aug 2026 · 1,371 likely votersBill Hill 33.2%Nick Begich III 47.9%Eric Hafner 14.7%Clay Strickland 4.2%
  6. 5 Aug ’26Alaska Survey Research 2 Aug to 5 Aug 2026 · 1,371 likely votersBill Hill 34.4%Nick Begich III 50.4%Eric Hafner 15.2%
  7. 16 Jul ’26The Bullfinch Group 13 Jul to 16 Jul 2026 · 546 likely votersNick Begich 52.0%Bill Hill 48.0%
  8. 16 Jul ’26The Bullfinch Group 13 Jul to 16 Jul 2026 · 546 likely votersBill Hill 20.0%Nick Begich III 46.0%Matt Schultz 32.0%
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