Race2026 cycle · PrimariesElection day 3 Nov 2026Updated

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DonorAlpha, “North Carolina Senate general 2026”, https://donoralpha.com/races/north-carolina-senate-general-2026?e=c2026&el=primary, updated .

North Carolina Senate general 2026

Prediction market7 Oct 2026

Roy Cooper 96.8% · prediction market price

No. 6 of 68 Senate races in the 2026 cycle

This race is in the 2026 general election.

The short version

In the 2026 North Carolina Senate general election, 30 outside groups spent $70.1M: $2.3M supporting Roy Cooper (D), $40.5M opposing Roy Cooper, $4.0M supporting Michael Whatley (R) and $23.3M opposing Michael Whatley.

$70.1M

outside money

supporting Roy Cooper (D)
$2.3M
opposing Roy Cooper (D)
$40.5M
supporting Michael Whatley (R)
$4.0M
opposing Michael Whatley (R)
$23.3M

Result not in yet

Election day is 3 Nov 2026.

  • Roy Cooper

    Democrat

    Waiting for the count

  • Michael Whatley

    Republican

    Waiting for the count

Outside money supporting and opposing each candidate

Both sides on one scale
← OpposingSupporting →
  • Roy Cooper Democrat

    $40.5M
    $2.3M

    $2.3M supporting Roy Cooper · $40.5M opposing Roy Cooper

  • Michael Whatley Republican

    $23.3M
    $4.0M

    $4.0M supporting Michael Whatley · $23.3M opposing Michael Whatley

The long version

The candidates

What each candidate’s own campaign raised, beside what outside groups spent supporting and opposing them, and what party committees spent working with the campaign.

Week by week

Outside money each week, supporting and opposing the candidates, all candidates combined.

Week of 5 Oct 2026

Supporting $1,097

Supporting candidatesOpposing candidates

The groups on each side

The biggest outside groups in this race, by what they spent supporting or opposing each candidate.

Spent supporting a candidate

  1. Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc.supporting Michael Whatley$2.5M
  2. No Going Back PACsupporting Michael Whatley$1.0M
  3. Progress North Carolina Actionsupporting Roy Cooper$823K
  4. Planned Parenthood Votes North Carolinasupporting Roy Cooper$624K
  5. Senate Leadership Fundsupporting Michael Whatley$364K
  6. Workers Votesupporting Roy Cooper$175K
  7. United Futures PACsupporting Roy Cooper$157K
  8. Progressive Turnout Projectsupporting Roy Cooper$157K

Spent opposing a candidate

  1. Senate Leadership Fundopposing Roy Cooper$30.0M
  2. WinSenateopposing Michael Whatley$21.6M
  3. No Going Back PACopposing Roy Cooper$8.7M
  4. LCV Victory Fundopposing Michael Whatley$500K
  5. Edf Action Votesopposing Michael Whatley$500K
  6. NRDC Action Votesopposing Michael Whatley$500K
  7. Progress North Carolina Actionopposing Michael Whatley$143K

Who’s connected to whom

The groups that spent supporting or opposing the candidates.

Their biggest giversGroups that spentCandidatesSenate Leadership Fund spent $30.0M opposing Roy Cooper · $30.0MWinSenate spent $21.6M opposing Michael Whatley · $21.6MNo Going Back PAC spent $8.7M opposing Roy Cooper · $8.7MAmericans for Prosperity Action, Inc. spent $2.5M supporting Michael Whatley · $2.5MAmericans for Prosperity Action, Inc. spent $1.7M opposing Roy Cooper · $1.7MNo Going Back PAC spent $1.0M supporting Michael Whatley · $1.0MProgress North Carolina Action spent $823K supporting Roy Cooper · $823KPlanned Parenthood Votes North Carolina spent $624K supporting Roy Cooper · $624KLCV Victory Fund spent $500K opposing Michael Whatley · $500KEdf Action Votes spent $500K opposing Michael Whatley · $500KSenate Leadership Fund spent $364K supporting Michael Whatley · $364KProgress North Carolina Action spent $143K opposing Michael Whatley · $143KWinSenate spent $50,000 supporting Roy Cooper · $50,000One Nation gave $70.7M to Senate Leadership Fund · $70.7MChevron Corporation gave $3.9M to Senate Leadership Fund · $3.9MSMP gave $21.1M to WinSenate · $21.1MKoch Inc gave $30.0M to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $30.0MStand Together gave $20.0M to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $20.0MLillian's List gave $1,000 to Planned Parenthood Votes North Carolina · $1,000League of Conservation Voters gave $18.0M to LCV Victory Fund · $18.0MGreen Advocacy Project (CA) gave $300K to LCV Victory Fund · $300KEnvironmental Defense Action Fund gave $10.7M to Edf Action Votes · $10.7MOne NationOne NationCompany or group · $70.7MChevron CorporationChevron CorporationCompany or group · $3.9MSMPSMPCompany or group · $21.1MKoch IncKoch IncCompany or group · $30.0MStand TogetherStand TogetherCompany or group · $20.0MLillian's ListLillian's ListCompany or group · $1,000League of ConservationVotersLeague of Conservation VotersCompany or group · $18.0MGreen Advocacy Project (CA)Green Advocacy Project (CA)Company or group · $300KEnvironmental Defense ActionFundEnvironmental Defense Action FundCompany or group · $10.7MSenate Leadership FundSenate Leadership FundGroup · $30.4MWinSenateWinSenateGroup · $21.7MNo Going Back PACNo Going Back PACGroup · $9.8MAmericans for ProsperityAction, Inc.Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc.Group · $4.2MProgress North CarolinaActionProgress North Carolina ActionGroup · $966KPlanned Parenthood VotesNorth CarolinaPlanned Parenthood Votes North CarolinaGroup · $624KLCV Victory FundLCV Victory FundGroup · $500KEdf Action VotesEdf Action VotesGroup · $500KRoy CooperRoy CooperCandidate · $42.8MMichael WhatleyMichael WhatleyCandidate · $27.3MThom TillisThom TillisCandidate · $370
  • Senate Leadership Fund spent opposing Roy Cooper · $30.0M
  • WinSenate spent opposing Michael Whatley · $21.6M
  • No Going Back PAC spent opposing Roy Cooper · $8.7M
  • Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. spent supporting Michael Whatley · $2.5M
  • Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. spent opposing Roy Cooper · $1.7M
  • No Going Back PAC spent supporting Michael Whatley · $1.0M
  • Progress North Carolina Action spent supporting Roy Cooper · $823K
  • Planned Parenthood Votes North Carolina spent supporting Roy Cooper · $624K
  • LCV Victory Fund spent opposing Michael Whatley · $500K
  • Edf Action Votes spent opposing Michael Whatley · $500K
  • Senate Leadership Fund spent supporting Michael Whatley · $364K
  • Progress North Carolina Action spent opposing Michael Whatley · $143K
  • WinSenate spent supporting Roy Cooper · $50,000
  • One Nation gave to Senate Leadership Fund · $70.7M
  • Chevron Corporation gave to Senate Leadership Fund · $3.9M
  • SMP gave to WinSenate · $21.1M
  • Koch Inc gave to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $30.0M
  • Stand Together gave to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $20.0M
  • Lillian's List gave to Planned Parenthood Votes North Carolina · $1,000
  • League of Conservation Voters gave to LCV Victory Fund · $18.0M
  • Green Advocacy Project (CA) gave to LCV Victory Fund · $300K
  • Environmental Defense Action Fund gave to Edf Action Votes · $10.7M
GaveSpent supportingSpent opposingSwipe to see the whole map.

Group

Senate Leadership Fund

  • Senate Leadership Fund spent $30.0M opposing Roy Cooper$30.0M
  • Senate Leadership Fund spent $364K supporting Michael Whatley$364K
  • One Nation gave $70.7M to Senate Leadership Fund$70.7M
  • Chevron Corporation gave $3.9M to Senate Leadership Fund$3.9M

Polls

Every poll of this race on one timeline.

The average of 6 polls to 29 Sep 2026 has Roy Cooper at 49.9% and Michael Whatley at 39.9%.

6polls in the average

polls of this race
35
pollsters
17

Roy CooperMichael Whatley

Big Data Poll27 Sep to 29 Sep 2026 · 642 likely voters
DemocraticRoy Cooper51.0%
RepublicanMichael Whatley39.0%

Also asked · Shannon Bray 7.0% · Michael Dublin 4.0%

Point at a dot, or tab in and use the arrow keys

Every poll, newest first

  1. 29 Sep ’26Big Data Poll 27 Sep to 29 Sep 2026 · 642 likely votersRoy Cooper 51.0%Michael Whatley 39.0%Shannon Bray 7.0%Michael Dublin 4.0%
  2. 17 Sep ’26InsiderAdvantage 16 Sep to 17 Sep 2026 · 1,200 likely votersRoy Cooper 48.4%Michael Whatley 42.5%Shannon Bray 1.6%Michael Dublin 1.1%
  3. 16 Sep ’26High Point University Survey Research Center 9 Sep to 16 Sep 2026 · 706 likely votersRoy Cooper 50.0%Michael Whatley 42.0%
  4. 15 Sep ’26Harper Polling 13 Sep to 15 Sep 2026 · 608 likely votersRoy Cooper 49.0%Michael Whatley 34.0%Shannon Bray 3.0%Michael Dublin 2.0%
  5. 3 Sep ’26East Carolina University 31 Aug to 3 Sep 2026 · 675 likely votersRoy Cooper 52.0%Michael Whatley 44.0%Shannon Bray 3.0%Michael Dublin 1.0%
  6. 31 Aug ’26Elon University/YouGov 21 Aug to 31 Aug 2026 · 565 likely votersRoy Cooper 49.0%Michael Whatley 38.0%Michael Dublin 2.0%Shannon Bray 2.0%
  7. 12 Aug ’26High Point University Survey Research Center 3 Aug to 12 Aug 2026 · 660 likely votersRoy Cooper 50.0%Michael Whatley 45.0%
  8. 12 Aug ’26High Point University Survey Research Center 3 Aug to 12 Aug 2026 · 800 registered votersRoy Cooper 48.0%Michael Whatley 41.0%
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