DonorAlpha
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Race2026 cycle · Special electionsElection day 3 Nov 2026Updated

Cite this page

DonorAlpha, “Ohio 15th District general 2026”, https://donoralpha.com/races/ohio-15th-district-general-2026?e=c2026&el=special, updated .

Ohio 15th District general 2026

No. 118 of 527 House races in the 2026 cycle

This race is in the 2026 general election.

The short version

In the 2026 Ohio 15th District general election, 7 outside groups spent $1.6M: $841K supporting Don Leonard (D), $366K opposing Don Leonard, $203K supporting Mike Carey (R) and $216K opposing Mike Carey.

$1.6M

outside money

supporting Don Leonard (D)
$841K
opposing Don Leonard (D)
$366K
supporting Mike Carey (R)
$203K
opposing Mike Carey (R)
$216K

Result not in yet

Election day is 3 Nov 2026.

  • Don Leonard

    Democrat

    Waiting for the count

  • Mike Carey

    Republican

    Waiting for the count

Outside money supporting and opposing each candidate

Both sides on one scale
← OpposingSupporting →

  • Don Leonard Democrat

    $366K
    $841K

    $841K supporting Don Leonard · $366K opposing Don Leonard

  • Mike Carey Republican

    $216K
    $203K

    $203K supporting Mike Carey · $216K opposing Mike Carey

The long version

The candidates

What each candidate’s own campaign raised, beside what outside groups spent supporting and opposing them.

  • Don Leonard

    Democrat

    Own campaign raised
    $607K
    Outside money supporting
    $841K
    Outside money opposing
    $366K
    Don Leonard for Ohio

  • Mike Carey

    Republican

    Own campaign raised
    $3.3M
    Outside money supporting
    $203K
    Outside money opposing
    $216K
    Carey for Congress
  • Campaign money to 30 Jun 2026

Week by week

Outside money each week, supporting and opposing the candidates, all candidates combined.

Week of 5 Oct 2026

Supporting $65,369

Supporting candidatesOpposing candidates

The groups on each side

The biggest outside groups in this race, by what they spent supporting or opposing each candidate.

Spent supporting a candidate

  1. Your Community PACsupporting Don Leonard$660K
  2. CFFE PACsupporting Don Leonard$175K
  3. No Going Back PACsupporting Mike Carey$137K
  4. Defending Main Street SUPERPACsupporting Mike Carey$65,369
  5. Stand Up for Ohiosupporting Don Leonard$5,561
  6. Unity & Justice Fundsupporting Don Leonard$1,084

Spent opposing a candidate

  1. Defending Main Street SUPERPACopposing Don Leonard$322K
  2. HMPopposing Mike Carey$216K
  3. No Going Back PACopposing Don Leonard$44,497

Who’s connected to whom

The groups that spent supporting or opposing the candidates.

Their biggest giversGroups that spentCandidatesYour Community PAC spent $660K supporting Don Leonard · $660KDefending Main Street SUPERPAC spent $322K opposing Don Leonard · $322KHMP spent $216K opposing Mike Carey · $216KCFFE PAC spent $175K supporting Don Leonard · $175KNo Going Back PAC spent $137K supporting Mike Carey · $137KDefending Main Street SUPERPAC spent $65,369 supporting Mike Carey · $65,369No Going Back PAC spent $44,497 opposing Don Leonard · $44,497Stand Up for Ohio spent $5,561 supporting Don Leonard · $5,561Unity & Justice Fund spent $1,084 supporting Don Leonard · $1,084Sixteen Thirty Fund gave $2.7M to Your Community PAC · $2.7MNorth Fund gave $900K to Your Community PAC · $900KRepublican Main Street Partnership gave $3.0M to Defending Main Street SUPERPAC · $3.0MHouse Majority Forward gave $61.7M to HMP · $61.7MAmerican Opportunity Action gave $4.0M to HMP · $4.0MPivotal Ventures gave $2.0M to CFFE PAC · $2.0MOpportunity Action Fund gave $750K to CFFE PAC · $750KCair Action gave $185K to Unity & Justice Fund · $185KRite Care Pharmacy gave $1,000 to Unity & Justice Fund · $1,000Sixteen Thirty FundSixteen Thirty FundCompany or group · $2.7MNorth FundNorth FundCompany or group · $900KRepublican Main StreetPartnershipRepublican Main Street PartnershipCompany or group · $3.0MHouse Majority ForwardHouse Majority ForwardCompany or group · $61.7MAmerican Opportunity ActionAmerican Opportunity ActionCompany or group · $4.0MPivotal VenturesPivotal VenturesCompany or group · $2.0MOpportunity Action FundOpportunity Action FundCompany or group · $750KCair ActionCair ActionCompany or group · $185KRite Care PharmacyRite Care PharmacyCompany or group · $1,000Your Community PACYour Community PACGroup · $660KDefending Main StreetSUPERPACDefending Main Street SUPERPACGroup · $387KHMPHMPGroup · $216KNo Going Back PACNo Going Back PACGroup · $182KCFFE PACCFFE PACGroup · $175KStand Up for OhioStand Up for OhioGroup · $5,561Unity & Justice FundUnity & Justice FundGroup · $1,084Don LeonardDon LeonardCandidate · $1.2MMike CareyMike CareyCandidate · $419K
  • Your Community PAC spent supporting Don Leonard · $660K
  • Defending Main Street SUPERPAC spent opposing Don Leonard · $322K
  • HMP spent opposing Mike Carey · $216K
  • CFFE PAC spent supporting Don Leonard · $175K
  • No Going Back PAC spent supporting Mike Carey · $137K
  • Defending Main Street SUPERPAC spent supporting Mike Carey · $65,369
  • No Going Back PAC spent opposing Don Leonard · $44,497
  • Stand Up for Ohio spent supporting Don Leonard · $5,561
  • Unity & Justice Fund spent supporting Don Leonard · $1,084
  • Sixteen Thirty Fund gave to Your Community PAC · $2.7M
  • North Fund gave to Your Community PAC · $900K
  • Republican Main Street Partnership gave to Defending Main Street SUPERPAC · $3.0M
  • House Majority Forward gave to HMP · $61.7M
  • American Opportunity Action gave to HMP · $4.0M
  • Pivotal Ventures gave to CFFE PAC · $2.0M
  • Opportunity Action Fund gave to CFFE PAC · $750K
  • Cair Action gave to Unity & Justice Fund · $185K
  • Rite Care Pharmacy gave to Unity & Justice Fund · $1,000
GaveSpent supportingSpent opposingSwipe to see the whole map.

Group

Your Community PAC

  • Your Community PAC spent $660K supporting Don Leonard$660K
  • Sixteen Thirty Fund gave $2.7M to Your Community PAC$2.7M
  • North Fund gave $900K to Your Community PAC$900K

Polls

Every poll of this race on one timeline.

The latest poll, by Hart Research Associates to 24 Sep 2026, has Don Leonard at 46.0% and Mike Carey at 45.0%.

2polls of this race

in 2026
2
pollster
1

Don LeonardMike Carey

Hart Research Associatesa party-aligned sponsor paid for it22 Sep to 24 Sep 2026 · 500 likely voters
DemocraticDon Leonard46.0%
RepublicanMike Carey45.0%

Point at a dot, or tab in and use the arrow keys

Every poll, newest first

  1. 24 Sep ’26Hart Research Associates a party-aligned sponsor paid for it22 Sep to 24 Sep 2026 · 500 likely votersDon Leonard 46.0%Mike Carey 45.0%
  2. 25 Jun ’26Hart Research Associates a party-aligned sponsor paid for it23 Jun to 25 Jun 2026 · 550 likely votersDon Leonard 40.0%Mike Carey 45.0%Brennan Barrington 3.0%
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