Race2026 cycle · OtherElection day 3 Nov 2026Updated

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DonorAlpha, “Tennessee Senate general 2026”, https://donoralpha.com/races/tennessee-senate-general-2026?e=c2026&el=undetermined, updated .

Tennessee Senate general 2026

Prediction market7 Oct 2026

Bill Hagerty 94.9% · prediction market price

No. 55 of 68 Senate races in the 2026 cycle

This race is in the 2026 general election.

The short version

In the 2026 Tennessee Senate general election, 3 outside groups spent $247K: $247K supporting Bill Hagerty (R).

$247K

outside money

supporting Bill Hagerty (R)
$247K

Result not in yet

Election day is 3 Nov 2026.

  • Bill Hagerty

    Republican

    Waiting for the count

Outside money supporting and opposing each candidate

Both sides on one scale
← OpposingSupporting →
  • Bill Hagerty Republican

    $247K

    $247K supporting Bill Hagerty

The long version

The candidates

What each candidate’s own campaign raised, beside what outside groups spent supporting and opposing them, and what party committees spent working with the campaign.

Week by week

Outside money each week, supporting and opposing the candidates, all candidates combined.

Week of 28 Sep 2026

Supporting $212K

Supporting candidatesOpposing candidates

The groups on each side

The biggest outside groups in this race, by what they spent supporting or opposing each candidate.

Spent supporting a candidate

  1. American Missionsupporting Bill Hagerty$212K
  2. Senate Conservatives Fundsupporting Bill Hagerty$23,065
  3. Senate Conservatives Actionsupporting Bill Hagerty$11,218

Who’s connected to whom

The groups that spent supporting or opposing the candidates.

Their biggest giversGroups that spentCandidatesAmerican Mission spent $212K supporting Bill Hagerty · $212KSenate Conservatives Fund spent $23,065 supporting Bill Hagerty · $23,065Senate Conservatives Action spent $11,218 supporting Bill Hagerty · $11,218Lonsdale Enterprises (CA) gave $250K to American Mission · $250KBlessey Marine Service, Inc. Political Action Committee gave $5,000 to Senate Conservatives Fund · $5,000Raymond James (GA) gave $336 to Senate Conservatives Action · $336Lonsdale Enterprises (CA)Lonsdale Enterprises (CA)Company or group · $250KBlessey Marine Service, Inc.Political Action CommitteeBlessey Marine Service, Inc. Political Action CommitteeCompany or group · $5,000Raymond James (GA)Raymond James (GA)Company or group · $336American MissionAmerican MissionGroup · $212KSenate Conservatives FundSenate Conservatives FundGroup · $23,065Senate Conservatives ActionSenate Conservatives ActionGroup · $11,218Bill HagertyBill HagertyCandidate · $247K
  • American Mission spent supporting Bill Hagerty · $212K
  • Senate Conservatives Fund spent supporting Bill Hagerty · $23,065
  • Senate Conservatives Action spent supporting Bill Hagerty · $11,218
  • Lonsdale Enterprises (CA) gave to American Mission · $250K
  • Blessey Marine Service, Inc. Political Action Committee gave to Senate Conservatives Fund · $5,000
  • Raymond James (GA) gave to Senate Conservatives Action · $336
GaveSpent supportingSpent opposingSwipe to see the whole map.

Group

American Mission

  • American Mission spent $212K supporting Bill Hagerty$212K
  • Lonsdale Enterprises (CA) gave $250K to American Mission$250K

Polls

Every poll of this race on one timeline.

The latest poll, by Targoz Market Research to 26 Aug 2026, has Bill Hagerty at 51.0% and Marquita Bradshaw at 31.0%.

Marquita BradshawBill Hagerty

Targoz Market Research15 Aug to 26 Aug 2026 · 1,157 registered voters
DemocraticMarquita Bradshaw31.0%
RepublicanBill Hagerty51.0%

Point at a dot, or tab in and use the arrow keys

Every poll, newest first

  1. 26 Aug ’26Targoz Market Research 15 Aug to 26 Aug 2026 · 1,157 registered votersMarquita Bradshaw 31.0%Bill Hagerty 51.0%
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