DonorAlpha
2026 cycle

Show money and races for

Race2026 cycleElection day 3 Nov 2026Updated

Cite this page

DonorAlpha, “Maine 2nd District general 2026”, https://donoralpha.com/races/maine-2nd-district-general-2026?e=c2026, updated .

Maine 2nd District general 2026

Prediction market7 Oct 2026

Paul LePage 63.5% · prediction market price

No. 48 of 527 House races in the 2026 cycle

The short version

In the 2026 Maine 2nd District general election, 11 outside groups spent $5.4M: $662K supporting Matt Dunlap (D), $2.5M opposing Matt Dunlap, $130K supporting Paul LePage (R) and $2.1M opposing Paul LePage.

$5.4M

outside money

supporting Matt Dunlap (D)
$662K
opposing Matt Dunlap (D)
$2.5M
supporting Paul LePage (R)
$130K
opposing Paul LePage (R)
$2.1M

Result not in yet

Election day is 3 Nov 2026.

  • Matt Dunlap

    Democrat

    Waiting for the count

  • Paul LePage

    Republican

    Waiting for the count

Outside money supporting and opposing each candidate

Both sides on one scale
← OpposingSupporting →

  • Matt Dunlap Democrat

    $2.5M
    $662K

    $662K supporting Matt Dunlap · $2.5M opposing Matt Dunlap

  • Paul LePage Republican

    $2.1M
    $130K

    $130K supporting Paul LePage · $2.1M opposing Paul LePage

This seat, every election

Maine 2nd District

$6.9M

outside money in the 2026 cycle

The long version

The candidates

What each candidate’s own campaign raised, beside what outside groups spent supporting and opposing them.

  • Matt Dunlap

    Democrat

    Own campaign raised
    $1.2M
    Outside money supporting
    $662K
    Outside money opposing
    $2.5M
    Dunlap for Congress

  • Paul LePage

    Republican

    Own campaign raised
    $2.4M
    Outside money supporting
    $130K
    Outside money opposing
    $2.1M
    Paul Lepage for Congress
  • Campaign money to 30 Jun 2026

Week by week

Outside money each week, supporting and opposing the candidates, all candidates combined.

Week of 5 Oct 2026

Supporting $24,288Opposing $84,992

Supporting candidatesOpposing candidates

The groups on each side

The biggest outside groups in this race, by what they spent supporting or opposing each candidate.

Spent supporting a candidate

  1. National Nurses United for Patient Protectionsupporting Matt Dunlap$385K
  2. CFFE PACsupporting Matt Dunlap$204K
  3. America PACsupporting Paul LePage$79,345
  4. No Going Back PACsupporting Paul LePage$34,411
  5. Community Change Voterssupporting Matt Dunlap$30,156
  6. Maine Peoplesupporting Matt Dunlap$28,125
  7. The Conservative Caucussupporting Paul LePage$16,558
  8. Progressive Turnout Projectsupporting Matt Dunlap$14,535

Spent opposing a candidate

  1. Congressional Leadership Fundopposing Matt Dunlap$2.3M
  2. HMPopposing Paul LePage$2.1M
  3. America PACopposing Matt Dunlap$173K
  4. No Going Back PACopposing Matt Dunlap$60,342
  5. The Conservative Caucusopposing John Baldacci$22,384
  6. Maine Peopleopposing Paul LePage$9,375

Who’s connected to whom

The groups that spent supporting or opposing the candidates.

Their biggest giversGroups that spentCandidatesCongressional Leadership Fund spent $2.3M opposing Matt Dunlap · $2.3MHMP spent $2.1M opposing Paul LePage · $2.1MNational Nurses United for Patient Protection spent $385K supporting Matt Dunlap · $385KCFFE PAC spent $204K supporting Matt Dunlap · $204KAmerica PAC spent $173K opposing Matt Dunlap · $173KAmerica PAC spent $79,345 supporting Paul LePage · $79,345No Going Back PAC spent $60,342 opposing Matt Dunlap · $60,342No Going Back PAC spent $34,411 supporting Paul LePage · $34,411Maine People spent $28,125 supporting Matt Dunlap · $28,125The Conservative Caucus spent $22,384 opposing John Baldacci · $22,384The Conservative Caucus spent $16,558 supporting Paul LePage · $16,558Maine People spent $9,375 opposing Paul LePage · $9,375American Action Network gave $43.5M to Congressional Leadership Fund · $43.5MChevron Corporation gave $3.5M to Congressional Leadership Fund · $3.5MHouse Majority Forward gave $61.7M to HMP · $61.7MAmerican Opportunity Action gave $4.0M to HMP · $4.0MNNU gave $2.5M to National Nurses United for Patient Protection · $2.5MPivotal Ventures gave $2.0M to CFFE PAC · $2.0MOpportunity Action Fund gave $750K to CFFE PAC · $750KAmerican Action NetworkAmerican Action NetworkCompany or group · $43.5MChevron CorporationChevron CorporationCompany or group · $3.5MHouse Majority ForwardHouse Majority ForwardCompany or group · $61.7MAmerican Opportunity ActionAmerican Opportunity ActionCompany or group · $4.0MNNUNNUCompany or group · $2.5MPivotal VenturesPivotal VenturesCompany or group · $2.0MOpportunity Action FundOpportunity Action FundCompany or group · $750KCongressional LeadershipFundCongressional Leadership FundGroup · $2.3MHMPHMPGroup · $2.1MNational Nurses United forPatient ProtectionNational Nurses United for Patient ProtectionGroup · $385KAmerica PACAmerica PACGroup · $252KCFFE PACCFFE PACGroup · $204KNo Going Back PACNo Going Back PACGroup · $94,753The Conservative CaucusThe Conservative CaucusGroup · $38,942Maine PeopleMaine PeopleGroup · $37,500Matt DunlapMatt DunlapCandidate · $3.1MPaul LePagePaul LePageCandidate · $2.3MJohn BaldacciJohn BaldacciCandidate · $22,384
  • Congressional Leadership Fund spent opposing Matt Dunlap · $2.3M
  • HMP spent opposing Paul LePage · $2.1M
  • National Nurses United for Patient Protection spent supporting Matt Dunlap · $385K
  • CFFE PAC spent supporting Matt Dunlap · $204K
  • America PAC spent opposing Matt Dunlap · $173K
  • America PAC spent supporting Paul LePage · $79,345
  • No Going Back PAC spent opposing Matt Dunlap · $60,342
  • No Going Back PAC spent supporting Paul LePage · $34,411
  • Maine People spent supporting Matt Dunlap · $28,125
  • The Conservative Caucus spent opposing John Baldacci · $22,384
  • The Conservative Caucus spent supporting Paul LePage · $16,558
  • Maine People spent opposing Paul LePage · $9,375
  • American Action Network gave to Congressional Leadership Fund · $43.5M
  • Chevron Corporation gave to Congressional Leadership Fund · $3.5M
  • House Majority Forward gave to HMP · $61.7M
  • American Opportunity Action gave to HMP · $4.0M
  • NNU gave to National Nurses United for Patient Protection · $2.5M
  • Pivotal Ventures gave to CFFE PAC · $2.0M
  • Opportunity Action Fund gave to CFFE PAC · $750K
GaveSpent supportingSpent opposingSwipe to see the whole map.

Group

Congressional Leadership Fund

  • Congressional Leadership Fund spent $2.3M opposing Matt Dunlap$2.3M
  • American Action Network gave $43.5M to Congressional Leadership Fund$43.5M
  • Chevron Corporation gave $3.5M to Congressional Leadership Fund$3.5M

Polls

Every poll of this race on one timeline.

Of this race’s 4 polls, the newest ended on 29 Apr 2026.

4polls of this race

in 2026
4
pollsters
2

Matt DunlapPaul LePage

co/efficienta party-aligned sponsor paid for it25 Apr to 29 Apr 2026 · 918 likely voters
DemocraticMatt Dunlap40.0%
RepublicanPaul LePage50.0%

Point at a dot, or tab in and use the arrow keys

Every poll, newest first

  1. 29 Apr ’26co/efficient a party-aligned sponsor paid for it25 Apr to 29 Apr 2026 · 918 likely votersMatt Dunlap 40.0%Paul LePage 50.0%
  2. 16 Feb ’26University of New Hampshire 12 Feb to 16 Feb 2026 · 522 likely votersMatt Dunlap 46.0%Paul LePage 47.0%
  3. 16 Feb ’26University of New Hampshire 12 Feb to 16 Feb 2026 · 521 likely votersMatt Dunlap 46.0%Paul LePage 47.0%
  4. 16 Feb ’26University of New Hampshire 12 Feb to 16 Feb 2026 · 521 likely votersPaul LePage 48.0%Jordan Wood 44.0%
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