Race2026 cycleElection day 3 Nov 2026Updated

Cite this page

DonorAlpha, “Minnesota Senate general 2026”, https://donoralpha.com/races/minnesota-senate-general-2026?e=c2026, updated .

Minnesota Senate general 2026

Prediction market7 Oct 2026

Peggy Flanagan 86.5% · prediction market price

No. 57 of 68 Senate races in the 2026 cycle

The short version

In the 2026 Minnesota Senate general election, 3 outside groups spent $153K: $385 supporting Peggy Flanagan (DFL) and $153K opposing Peggy Flanagan.

$153K

outside money

supporting Peggy Flanagan (DFL)
$385
opposing Peggy Flanagan (DFL)
$153K

Result not in yet

Election day is 3 Nov 2026.

  • Peggy Flanagan

    Democratic-Farmer-Labor

    Waiting for the count

Outside money supporting and opposing each candidate

Both sides on one scale
← OpposingSupporting →
  • Peggy Flanagan Democratic-Farmer-Labor

    $153K
    $385

    $385 supporting Peggy Flanagan · $153K opposing Peggy Flanagan

This seat, every election

Minnesota Senate

$20.3M

outside money in the 2026 cycle

The long version

The candidates

What each candidate’s own campaign raised, beside what outside groups spent supporting and opposing them, and what party committees spent working with the campaign.

Week by week

Outside money each week, supporting and opposing the candidates, all candidates combined.

Week of 28 Sep 2026

Opposing $153K

Supporting candidatesOpposing candidates

The groups on each side

The biggest outside groups in this race, by what they spent supporting or opposing each candidate.

Spent supporting a candidate

  1. Everytown for Gun Safety Victory Fundsupporting Peggy Flanagan$325
  2. Givegreen United Actionsupporting Peggy Flanagan$61

Spent opposing a candidate

  1. Minnesota Forwardopposing Peggy Flanagan$153K

Who’s connected to whom

The groups that spent supporting or opposing the candidates.

Their biggest giversGroups that spentCandidatesMinnesota Forward spent $153K opposing Peggy Flanagan · $153KEverytown for Gun Safety Victory Fund spent $325 supporting Peggy Flanagan · $325Givegreen United Action spent $61 supporting Peggy Flanagan · $61Tafoya Victory gave $27,844 to Minnesota Forward · $27,844Team Tafoya gave $13,463 to Minnesota Forward · $13,463Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund gave $6.9M to Everytown for Gun Safety Victory Fund · $6.9MLeague of Conservation Voters gave $946K to Givegreen United Action · $946KNRDC Action Fund gave $922K to Givegreen United Action · $922KTafoya VictoryTafoya VictoryCompany or group · $27,844Team TafoyaTeam TafoyaCompany or group · $13,463Everytown for Gun SafetyAction FundEverytown for Gun Safety Action FundCompany or group · $6.9MLeague of ConservationVotersLeague of Conservation VotersCompany or group · $946KNRDC Action FundNRDC Action FundCompany or group · $922KMinnesota ForwardMinnesota ForwardGroup · $153KEverytown for Gun SafetyVictory FundEverytown for Gun Safety Victory FundGroup · $325Givegreen United ActionGivegreen United ActionGroup · $61Peggy FlanaganPeggy FlanaganCandidate · $153K
  • Minnesota Forward spent opposing Peggy Flanagan · $153K
  • Everytown for Gun Safety Victory Fund spent supporting Peggy Flanagan · $325
  • Givegreen United Action spent supporting Peggy Flanagan · $61
  • Tafoya Victory gave to Minnesota Forward · $27,844
  • Team Tafoya gave to Minnesota Forward · $13,463
  • Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund gave to Everytown for Gun Safety Victory Fund · $6.9M
  • League of Conservation Voters gave to Givegreen United Action · $946K
  • NRDC Action Fund gave to Givegreen United Action · $922K
GaveSpent supportingSpent opposingSwipe to see the whole map.

Group

Minnesota Forward

  • Minnesota Forward spent $153K opposing Peggy Flanagan$153K
  • Tafoya Victory gave $27,844 to Minnesota Forward$27,844
  • Team Tafoya gave $13,463 to Minnesota Forward$13,463

Polls

Every poll of this race on one timeline.

The average of 3 polls to 30 Sep 2026 has Peggy Flanagan at 45.4% and Michele Tafoya at 43.5%.

3polls in the average

polls of this race
6
pollsters
4

Peggy FlanaganMichele Tafoya

Big Data Poll29 Sep to 30 Sep 2026 · 622 likely voters
DemocraticPeggy Flanagan46.0%
RepublicanMichele Tafoya44.0%

Also asked · Rebecca Whiting 5.0%

Point at a dot, or tab in and use the arrow keys

Every poll, newest first

  1. 30 Sep ’26Big Data Poll 29 Sep to 30 Sep 2026 · 622 likely votersPeggy Flanagan 46.0%Michele Tafoya 44.0%Rebecca Whiting 5.0%
  2. 14 Sep ’26SurveyUSA 9 Sep to 14 Sep 2026 · 654 likely votersPeggy Flanagan 42.0%Michele Tafoya 42.0%Marisa Simonetti 2.0%Rebecca Whiting 2.0%
  3. 10 Sep ’26Quantus Insights 8 Sep to 10 Sep 2026 · 720 likely votersPeggy Flanagan 48.2%Michele Tafoya 44.4%
  4. 17 Aug ’26SurveyUSA 13 Aug to 17 Aug 2026 · 661 likely votersPeggy Flanagan 46.0%Michele Tafoya 41.0%Marisa Simonetti 1.0%Rebecca Whiting 1.0%
  5. 8 Feb ’26Emerson College 6 Feb to 8 Feb 2026 · 1,000 likely votersPeggy Flanagan 47.1%Michele Tafoya 40.6%
  6. 8 Feb ’26Emerson College 6 Feb to 8 Feb 2026 · 1,000 likely votersMichele Tafoya 40.2%Angie Craig 46.6%
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