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2026 cycle

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Race2026 cycleElection day 3 Nov 2026Updated

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DonorAlpha, “Montana Senate general 2026”, https://donoralpha.com/races/montana-senate-general-2026?e=c2026, updated .

Montana Senate general 2026

Prediction market7 Oct 2026

Kurt Alme 92.6% · prediction market price

No. 19 of 68 Senate races in the 2026 cycle

The short version

In the 2026 Montana Senate general election, 8 outside groups spent $13.2M: $8.1M supporting Seth Bodnar (I), $1.9M opposing Seth Bodnar, $2.0M supporting Kurt Alme (R) and $804K opposing Kurt Alme.

$13.2M

outside money

supporting Seth Bodnar (I)
$8.1M
opposing Seth Bodnar (I)
$1.9M
supporting Kurt Alme (R)
$2.0M
opposing Kurt Alme (R)
$804K

Result not in yet

Election day is 3 Nov 2026.

  • Seth Bodnar

    Independent

    Waiting for the count

  • Kurt Alme

    Republican

    Waiting for the count

  • Alani Bankhead

    Democrat

    Waiting for the count

Outside money supporting and opposing each candidate

Both sides on one scale
← OpposingSupporting →

  • Seth Bodnar Independent

    $1.9M
    $8.1M

    $8.1M supporting Seth Bodnar · $1.9M opposing Seth Bodnar

  • Kurt Alme Republican

    $804K
    $2.0M

    $2.0M supporting Kurt Alme · $804K opposing Kurt Alme

  • Alani Bankhead Democrat

    $345K

    $345K opposing Alani Bankhead

This seat, every election

Montana Senate

$18.7M

outside money in the 2026 cycle

The long version

The candidates

What each candidate’s own campaign raised, beside what outside groups spent supporting and opposing them.

  • Seth Bodnar

    Independent

    Own campaign raised
    $3.2M
    Outside money supporting
    $8.1M
    Outside money opposing
    $1.9M
    Seth Bodnar for Montana

  • Kurt Alme

    Republican

    Own campaign raised
    $2.0M
    Outside money supporting
    $2.0M
    Outside money opposing
    $804K
    Alme for Senate

  • Alani Bankhead

    Democrat

    Own campaign raised
    $58,829
    Outside money opposing
    $345K
    Friends of Alani Bankhead

  • Kyle Austin

    Libertarian

    Own campaign raised
    $251K
    Austin for Congress
  • Campaign money to 30 Jun 2026

Week by week

Outside money each week, supporting and opposing the candidates, all candidates combined.

Week of 28 Sep 2026

Supporting $1.2MOpposing $1.1M

Supporting candidatesOpposing candidates

The groups on each side

The biggest outside groups in this race, by what they spent supporting or opposing each candidate.

Spent supporting a candidate

  1. Independent PACsupporting Seth Bodnar$5.7M
  2. Montana Freedom PACsupporting Seth Bodnar$2.4M
  3. Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc.supporting Kurt Alme$1.8M
  4. American Missionsupporting Kurt Alme$210K
  5. Montanans for Public Landssupporting Seth Bodnar$46,681
  6. More Jobs, Less Governmentsupporting Kurt Alme$40,110
  7. NRA Victory Fundsupporting Kurt Alme$4,675

Spent opposing a candidate

  1. More Jobs, Less Governmentopposing Seth Bodnar$1.9M
  2. Montana Freedom PACopposing Kurt Alme$804K
  3. Montana Freedom PACopposing Alani Bankhead$338K
  4. Leadership in Actionopposing Seth Bodnar$10,000
  5. More Jobs, Less Governmentopposing Alani Bankhead$6,816

Who’s connected to whom

The groups that spent supporting or opposing the candidates.

Their biggest giversGroups that spentCandidatesIndependent PAC spent $5.7M supporting Seth Bodnar · $5.7MMontana Freedom PAC spent $2.4M supporting Seth Bodnar · $2.4MMore Jobs, Less Government spent $1.9M opposing Seth Bodnar · $1.9MAmericans for Prosperity Action, Inc. spent $1.8M supporting Kurt Alme · $1.8MMontana Freedom PAC spent $804K opposing Kurt Alme · $804KMontana Freedom PAC spent $338K opposing Alani Bankhead · $338KAmerican Mission spent $210K supporting Kurt Alme · $210KMontanans for Public Lands spent $46,681 supporting Seth Bodnar · $46,681More Jobs, Less Government spent $40,110 supporting Kurt Alme · $40,110Leadership in Action spent $10,000 opposing Seth Bodnar · $10,000More Jobs, Less Government spent $6,816 opposing Alani Bankhead · $6,816NRA Victory Fund spent $4,675 supporting Kurt Alme · $4,675Western Futures Fund gave $825K to Montana Freedom PAC · $825KGlobal Impact Social Welfare Fund (DC) gave $200K to Montana Freedom PAC · $200KRai Services (NC) gave $200K to More Jobs, Less Government · $200KDaines Senate Majority Fund gave $192K to More Jobs, Less Government · $192KKoch Inc gave $30.0M to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $30.0MStand Together gave $20.0M to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $20.0MLonsdale Enterprises (CA) gave $250K to American Mission · $250KSixteen Thirty Fund gave $50,000 to Montanans for Public Lands · $50,000Fidelity National Financial (FL) gave $125K to Leadership in Action · $125KRai Services (NC) gave $50,000 to Leadership in Action · $50,000Western Futures FundWestern Futures FundCompany or group · $825KGlobal Impact Social WelfareFund (DC)Global Impact Social Welfare Fund (DC)Company or group · $200KRai Services (NC)Rai Services (NC)Company or group · $200KDaines Senate Majority FundDaines Senate Majority FundCompany or group · $192KKoch IncKoch IncCompany or group · $30.0MStand TogetherStand TogetherCompany or group · $20.0MLonsdale Enterprises (CA)Lonsdale Enterprises (CA)Company or group · $250KSixteen Thirty FundSixteen Thirty FundCompany or group · $50,000Fidelity National Financial(FL)Fidelity National Financial (FL)Company or group · $125KIndependent PACIndependent PACGroup · $5.7MMontana Freedom PACMontana Freedom PACGroup · $3.5MMore Jobs, Less GovernmentMore Jobs, Less GovernmentGroup · $1.9MAmericans for ProsperityAction, Inc.Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc.Group · $1.8MAmerican MissionAmerican MissionGroup · $210KMontanans for Public LandsMontanans for Public LandsGroup · $46,681Leadership in ActionLeadership in ActionGroup · $10,000NRA Victory FundNRA Victory FundGroup · $4,675Seth BodnarSeth BodnarCandidate · $10.0MKurt AlmeKurt AlmeCandidate · $2.9MAlani BankheadAlani BankheadCandidate · $345K
  • Independent PAC spent supporting Seth Bodnar · $5.7M
  • Montana Freedom PAC spent supporting Seth Bodnar · $2.4M
  • More Jobs, Less Government spent opposing Seth Bodnar · $1.9M
  • Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. spent supporting Kurt Alme · $1.8M
  • Montana Freedom PAC spent opposing Kurt Alme · $804K
  • Montana Freedom PAC spent opposing Alani Bankhead · $338K
  • American Mission spent supporting Kurt Alme · $210K
  • Montanans for Public Lands spent supporting Seth Bodnar · $46,681
  • More Jobs, Less Government spent supporting Kurt Alme · $40,110
  • Leadership in Action spent opposing Seth Bodnar · $10,000
  • More Jobs, Less Government spent opposing Alani Bankhead · $6,816
  • NRA Victory Fund spent supporting Kurt Alme · $4,675
  • Western Futures Fund gave to Montana Freedom PAC · $825K
  • Global Impact Social Welfare Fund (DC) gave to Montana Freedom PAC · $200K
  • Rai Services (NC) gave to More Jobs, Less Government · $200K
  • Daines Senate Majority Fund gave to More Jobs, Less Government · $192K
  • Koch Inc gave to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $30.0M
  • Stand Together gave to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $20.0M
  • Lonsdale Enterprises (CA) gave to American Mission · $250K
  • Sixteen Thirty Fund gave to Montanans for Public Lands · $50,000
  • Fidelity National Financial (FL) gave to Leadership in Action · $125K
  • Rai Services (NC) gave to Leadership in Action · $50,000
GaveSpent supportingSpent opposingSwipe to see the whole map.

Group

Independent PAC

  • Independent PAC spent $5.7M supporting Seth Bodnar$5.7M

Polls

Every poll of this race on one timeline.

Of this race’s 23 polls, 2 ended in September, the newest on 24 Sep 2026.

23polls of this race

in 2026
23
pollsters
8

Kurt AlmeSeth Bodnar

American Pulse Research & Polling19 Sep to 24 Sep 2026 · 604 likely voters
RepublicanKurt Alme45.0%
IndependentSeth Bodnar26.0%

Also asked · Alani Bankhead 19.0%

Point at a dot, or tab in and use the arrow keys

Every poll, newest first

  1. 24 Sep ’26American Pulse Research & Polling 19 Sep to 24 Sep 2026 · 604 likely votersKurt Alme 45.0%Seth Bodnar 26.0%Alani Bankhead 19.0%
  2. 15 Sep ’26Quantus Insights 14 Sep to 15 Sep 2026 · 625 likely votersKurt Alme 44.0%Seth Bodnar 24.0%Alani Bankhead 23.0%
  3. 4 Aug ’26Hart Research Associates 1 Aug to 4 Aug 2026 · 800 likely votersKurt Alme 45.0%Seth Bodnar 30.0%Alani Bankhead 15.0%Kyle Austin 6.0%
  4. 27 Jul ’26Tavern Research 23 Jul to 27 Jul 2026 · 517 likely votersKurt Alme 59.0%Alani Bankhead 41.0%
  5. 27 Jul ’26Tavern Research 23 Jul to 27 Jul 2026 · 517 likely votersKurt Alme 49.0%Seth Bodnar 27.0%Alani Bankhead 22.0%
  6. 27 Jul ’26Tavern Research 23 Jul to 27 Jul 2026 · 517 likely votersKurt Alme 49.0%Seth Bodnar 25.0%Alani Bankhead 24.0%Kyle Austin 2.0%
  7. 27 Jul ’26Tavern Research 23 Jul to 27 Jul 2026 · 517 likely votersKurt Alme 56.0%Alani Bankhead 36.0%Kyle Austin 8.0%
  8. 27 Jul ’26Tavern Research 23 Jul to 27 Jul 2026 · 517 likely votersKurt Alme 51.0%Seth Bodnar 49.0%
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