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Race2026 cycle · PrimariesElection day 3 Nov 2026Updated

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DonorAlpha, “Montana Senate general 2026”, https://donoralpha.com/races/montana-senate-general-2026?e=c2026&el=primary, updated .

Montana Senate general 2026

Prediction market7 Oct 2026

Kurt Alme 92.6% · prediction market price

No. 19 of 68 Senate races in the 2026 cycle

This race is in the 2026 general election.

The short version

In the 2026 Montana Senate general election, 8 outside groups spent $13.2M: $8.1M supporting Seth Bodnar (I), $1.9M opposing Seth Bodnar, $2.0M supporting Kurt Alme (R) and $804K opposing Kurt Alme.

$13.2M

outside money

supporting Seth Bodnar (I)
$8.1M
opposing Seth Bodnar (I)
$1.9M
supporting Kurt Alme (R)
$2.0M
opposing Kurt Alme (R)
$804K

Result not in yet

Election day is 3 Nov 2026.

  • Seth Bodnar

    Independent

    Waiting for the count

  • Kurt Alme

    Republican

    Waiting for the count

  • Alani Bankhead

    Democrat

    Waiting for the count

Outside money supporting and opposing each candidate

Both sides on one scale
← OpposingSupporting →

  • Seth Bodnar Independent

    $1.9M
    $8.1M

    $8.1M supporting Seth Bodnar · $1.9M opposing Seth Bodnar

  • Kurt Alme Republican

    $804K
    $2.0M

    $2.0M supporting Kurt Alme · $804K opposing Kurt Alme

  • Alani Bankhead Democrat

    $345K

    $345K opposing Alani Bankhead

The long version

The candidates

What each candidate’s own campaign raised, beside what outside groups spent supporting and opposing them.

  • Seth Bodnar

    Independent

    Own campaign raised
    $3.2M
    Outside money supporting
    $8.1M
    Outside money opposing
    $1.9M
    Seth Bodnar for Montana

  • Kurt Alme

    Republican

    Own campaign raised
    $2.0M
    Outside money supporting
    $2.0M
    Outside money opposing
    $804K
    Alme for Senate

  • Alani Bankhead

    Democrat

    Own campaign raised
    $58,829
    Outside money opposing
    $345K
    Friends of Alani Bankhead

  • Kyle Austin

    Libertarian

    Own campaign raised
    $251K
    Austin for Congress
  • Campaign money to 30 Jun 2026

Week by week

Outside money each week, supporting and opposing the candidates, all candidates combined.

Week of 28 Sep 2026

Supporting $1.2MOpposing $1.1M

Supporting candidatesOpposing candidates

The groups on each side

The biggest outside groups in this race, by what they spent supporting or opposing each candidate.

Spent supporting a candidate

  1. Independent PACsupporting Seth Bodnar$5.7M
  2. Montana Freedom PACsupporting Seth Bodnar$2.4M
  3. Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc.supporting Kurt Alme$1.8M
  4. American Missionsupporting Kurt Alme$210K
  5. Montanans for Public Landssupporting Seth Bodnar$46,681
  6. More Jobs, Less Governmentsupporting Kurt Alme$40,110
  7. NRA Victory Fundsupporting Kurt Alme$4,675

Spent opposing a candidate

  1. More Jobs, Less Governmentopposing Seth Bodnar$1.9M
  2. Montana Freedom PACopposing Kurt Alme$804K
  3. Montana Freedom PACopposing Alani Bankhead$338K
  4. Leadership in Actionopposing Seth Bodnar$10,000
  5. More Jobs, Less Governmentopposing Alani Bankhead$6,816

Who’s connected to whom

The groups that spent supporting or opposing the candidates.

Their biggest giversGroups that spentCandidatesIndependent PAC spent $5.7M supporting Seth Bodnar · $5.7MMontana Freedom PAC spent $2.4M supporting Seth Bodnar · $2.4MMore Jobs, Less Government spent $1.9M opposing Seth Bodnar · $1.9MAmericans for Prosperity Action, Inc. spent $1.8M supporting Kurt Alme · $1.8MMontana Freedom PAC spent $804K opposing Kurt Alme · $804KMontana Freedom PAC spent $338K opposing Alani Bankhead · $338KAmerican Mission spent $210K supporting Kurt Alme · $210KMontanans for Public Lands spent $46,681 supporting Seth Bodnar · $46,681More Jobs, Less Government spent $40,110 supporting Kurt Alme · $40,110Leadership in Action spent $10,000 opposing Seth Bodnar · $10,000More Jobs, Less Government spent $6,816 opposing Alani Bankhead · $6,816NRA Victory Fund spent $4,675 supporting Kurt Alme · $4,675Western Futures Fund gave $825K to Montana Freedom PAC · $825KGlobal Impact Social Welfare Fund (DC) gave $200K to Montana Freedom PAC · $200KRai Services (NC) gave $200K to More Jobs, Less Government · $200KDaines Senate Majority Fund gave $192K to More Jobs, Less Government · $192KKoch Inc gave $30.0M to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $30.0MStand Together gave $20.0M to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $20.0MLonsdale Enterprises (CA) gave $250K to American Mission · $250KSixteen Thirty Fund gave $50,000 to Montanans for Public Lands · $50,000Fidelity National Financial (FL) gave $125K to Leadership in Action · $125KRai Services (NC) gave $50,000 to Leadership in Action · $50,000Western Futures FundWestern Futures FundCompany or group · $825KGlobal Impact Social WelfareFund (DC)Global Impact Social Welfare Fund (DC)Company or group · $200KRai Services (NC)Rai Services (NC)Company or group · $200KDaines Senate Majority FundDaines Senate Majority FundCompany or group · $192KKoch IncKoch IncCompany or group · $30.0MStand TogetherStand TogetherCompany or group · $20.0MLonsdale Enterprises (CA)Lonsdale Enterprises (CA)Company or group · $250KSixteen Thirty FundSixteen Thirty FundCompany or group · $50,000Fidelity National Financial(FL)Fidelity National Financial (FL)Company or group · $125KIndependent PACIndependent PACGroup · $5.7MMontana Freedom PACMontana Freedom PACGroup · $3.5MMore Jobs, Less GovernmentMore Jobs, Less GovernmentGroup · $1.9MAmericans for ProsperityAction, Inc.Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc.Group · $1.8MAmerican MissionAmerican MissionGroup · $210KMontanans for Public LandsMontanans for Public LandsGroup · $46,681Leadership in ActionLeadership in ActionGroup · $10,000NRA Victory FundNRA Victory FundGroup · $4,675Seth BodnarSeth BodnarCandidate · $10.0MKurt AlmeKurt AlmeCandidate · $2.9MAlani BankheadAlani BankheadCandidate · $345K
  • Independent PAC spent supporting Seth Bodnar · $5.7M
  • Montana Freedom PAC spent supporting Seth Bodnar · $2.4M
  • More Jobs, Less Government spent opposing Seth Bodnar · $1.9M
  • Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. spent supporting Kurt Alme · $1.8M
  • Montana Freedom PAC spent opposing Kurt Alme · $804K
  • Montana Freedom PAC spent opposing Alani Bankhead · $338K
  • American Mission spent supporting Kurt Alme · $210K
  • Montanans for Public Lands spent supporting Seth Bodnar · $46,681
  • More Jobs, Less Government spent supporting Kurt Alme · $40,110
  • Leadership in Action spent opposing Seth Bodnar · $10,000
  • More Jobs, Less Government spent opposing Alani Bankhead · $6,816
  • NRA Victory Fund spent supporting Kurt Alme · $4,675
  • Western Futures Fund gave to Montana Freedom PAC · $825K
  • Global Impact Social Welfare Fund (DC) gave to Montana Freedom PAC · $200K
  • Rai Services (NC) gave to More Jobs, Less Government · $200K
  • Daines Senate Majority Fund gave to More Jobs, Less Government · $192K
  • Koch Inc gave to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $30.0M
  • Stand Together gave to Americans for Prosperity Action, Inc. · $20.0M
  • Lonsdale Enterprises (CA) gave to American Mission · $250K
  • Sixteen Thirty Fund gave to Montanans for Public Lands · $50,000
  • Fidelity National Financial (FL) gave to Leadership in Action · $125K
  • Rai Services (NC) gave to Leadership in Action · $50,000
GaveSpent supportingSpent opposingSwipe to see the whole map.

Group

Independent PAC

  • Independent PAC spent $5.7M supporting Seth Bodnar$5.7M

Polls

Every poll of this race on one timeline.

Of this race’s 23 polls, 2 ended in September, the newest on 24 Sep 2026.

23polls of this race

in 2026
23
pollsters
8

Kurt AlmeSeth Bodnar

American Pulse Research & Polling19 Sep to 24 Sep 2026 · 604 likely voters
RepublicanKurt Alme45.0%
IndependentSeth Bodnar26.0%

Also asked · Alani Bankhead 19.0%

Point at a dot, or tab in and use the arrow keys

Every poll, newest first

  1. 24 Sep ’26American Pulse Research & Polling 19 Sep to 24 Sep 2026 · 604 likely votersKurt Alme 45.0%Seth Bodnar 26.0%Alani Bankhead 19.0%
  2. 15 Sep ’26Quantus Insights 14 Sep to 15 Sep 2026 · 625 likely votersKurt Alme 44.0%Seth Bodnar 24.0%Alani Bankhead 23.0%
  3. 4 Aug ’26Hart Research Associates 1 Aug to 4 Aug 2026 · 800 likely votersKurt Alme 45.0%Seth Bodnar 30.0%Alani Bankhead 15.0%Kyle Austin 6.0%
  4. 27 Jul ’26Tavern Research 23 Jul to 27 Jul 2026 · 517 likely votersKurt Alme 59.0%Alani Bankhead 41.0%
  5. 27 Jul ’26Tavern Research 23 Jul to 27 Jul 2026 · 517 likely votersKurt Alme 49.0%Seth Bodnar 27.0%Alani Bankhead 22.0%
  6. 27 Jul ’26Tavern Research 23 Jul to 27 Jul 2026 · 517 likely votersKurt Alme 49.0%Seth Bodnar 25.0%Alani Bankhead 24.0%Kyle Austin 2.0%
  7. 27 Jul ’26Tavern Research 23 Jul to 27 Jul 2026 · 517 likely votersKurt Alme 56.0%Alani Bankhead 36.0%Kyle Austin 8.0%
  8. 27 Jul ’26Tavern Research 23 Jul to 27 Jul 2026 · 517 likely votersKurt Alme 51.0%Seth Bodnar 49.0%
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