Race2026 cycleElection day 3 Nov 2026Updated

Cite this page

DonorAlpha, “Texas 23rd District general 2026”, https://donoralpha.com/races/texas-23rd-district-general-2026?e=c2026, updated .

Texas 23rd District general 2026

Prediction market7 Oct 2026

Brandon Herrera 63.5% · prediction market price

No. 123 of 527 House races in the 2026 cycle

The short version

In the 2026 Texas 23rd District general election, 6 outside groups spent $1.5M: $761K supporting Brandon Herrera (R), $268K opposing Brandon Herrera, $103K supporting Katy Padilla Stout (D) and $384K opposing Katy Padilla Stout.

$1.5M

outside money

supporting Brandon Herrera (R)
$761K
opposing Brandon Herrera (R)
$268K
supporting Katy Padilla Stout (D)
$103K
opposing Katy Padilla Stout (D)
$384K

Result not in yet

Election day is 3 Nov 2026.

  • Brandon Herrera

    Republican

    Waiting for the count

  • Katy Padilla Stout

    Democrat

    Waiting for the count

Outside money supporting and opposing each candidate

Both sides on one scale
← OpposingSupporting →
  • Brandon Herrera Republican

    $268K
    $761K

    $761K supporting Brandon Herrera · $268K opposing Brandon Herrera

  • Katy Padilla Stout Democrat

    $384K
    $103K

    $103K supporting Katy Padilla Stout · $384K opposing Katy Padilla Stout

This seat, every election

Texas 23rd District

$1.9M

outside money in the 2026 cycle

The long version

The candidates

What each candidate’s own campaign raised, beside what outside groups spent supporting and opposing them.

  • Brandon Herrera

    Republican

    Own campaign raised
    $1.9M
    Outside money supporting
    $761K
    Outside money opposing
    $268K
    Brandon Herrera for Congress
  • Katy Padilla Stout

    Democrat

    Own campaign raised
    $485K
    Outside money supporting
    $103K
    Outside money opposing
    $384K
    Katy Padilla Stout for Congress
  • Campaign money to 30 Jun 2026

Week by week

Outside money each week, supporting and opposing the candidates, all candidates combined.

Week of 5 Oct 2026

Opposing $41,968

Supporting candidatesOpposing candidates

The groups on each side

The biggest outside groups in this race, by what they spent supporting or opposing each candidate.

Spent supporting a candidate

  1. Freedom Caucus Fundsupporting Brandon Herrera$589K
  2. No Going Back PACsupporting Brandon Herrera$115K
  3. Somos PACsupporting Katy Padilla Stout$103K
  4. America PACsupporting Brandon Herrera$56,549

Spent opposing a candidate

  1. AB PACopposing Brandon Herrera$268K
  2. Freedom Caucus Fundopposing Katy Padilla Stout$173K
  3. No Going Back PACopposing Katy Padilla Stout$121K
  4. America PACopposing Katy Padilla Stout$86,419
  5. Patriotic Leadership PACopposing Katy Padilla Stout$3,200

Who’s connected to whom

The groups that spent supporting or opposing the candidates.

Their biggest giversGroups that spentCandidatesFreedom Caucus Fund spent $589K supporting Brandon Herrera · $589KAB PAC spent $268K opposing Brandon Herrera · $268KFreedom Caucus Fund spent $173K opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $173KNo Going Back PAC spent $121K opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $121KNo Going Back PAC spent $115K supporting Brandon Herrera · $115KSomos PAC spent $103K supporting Katy Padilla Stout · $103KAmerica PAC spent $86,419 opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $86,419America PAC spent $56,549 supporting Brandon Herrera · $56,549Patriotic Leadership PAC spent $3,200 opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $3,200Freedom Caucus Alliance gave $135K to Freedom Caucus Fund · $135KLet's Get to Work PAC gave $84,000 to Freedom Caucus Fund · $84,000AB Foundation gave $13.0M to AB PAC · $13.0MDemocracy Matters gave $5.6M to AB PAC · $5.6MElevate America gave $2.2M to Somos PAC · $2.2MAdvocacy Action Fund gave $2.0M to Somos PAC · $2.0MAmerican Growth and Opportunity gave $13,500 to Patriotic Leadership PAC · $13,500Freedom Caucus AllianceFreedom Caucus AllianceCompany or group · $135KLet's Get to Work PACLet's Get to Work PACCompany or group · $84,000AB FoundationAB FoundationCompany or group · $13.0MDemocracy MattersDemocracy MattersCompany or group · $5.6MElevate AmericaElevate AmericaCompany or group · $2.2MAdvocacy Action FundAdvocacy Action FundCompany or group · $2.0MAmerican Growth andOpportunityAmerican Growth and OpportunityCompany or group · $13,500Freedom Caucus FundFreedom Caucus FundGroup · $762KAB PACAB PACGroup · $268KNo Going Back PACNo Going Back PACGroup · $236KAmerica PACAmerica PACGroup · $143KSomos PACSomos PACGroup · $103KPatriotic Leadership PACPatriotic Leadership PACGroup · $3,200Brandon HerreraBrandon HerreraCandidate · $1.0MKaty Padilla StoutKaty Padilla StoutCandidate · $487K
  • Freedom Caucus Fund spent supporting Brandon Herrera · $589K
  • AB PAC spent opposing Brandon Herrera · $268K
  • Freedom Caucus Fund spent opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $173K
  • No Going Back PAC spent opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $121K
  • No Going Back PAC spent supporting Brandon Herrera · $115K
  • Somos PAC spent supporting Katy Padilla Stout · $103K
  • America PAC spent opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $86,419
  • America PAC spent supporting Brandon Herrera · $56,549
  • Patriotic Leadership PAC spent opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $3,200
  • Freedom Caucus Alliance gave to Freedom Caucus Fund · $135K
  • Let's Get to Work PAC gave to Freedom Caucus Fund · $84,000
  • AB Foundation gave to AB PAC · $13.0M
  • Democracy Matters gave to AB PAC · $5.6M
  • Elevate America gave to Somos PAC · $2.2M
  • Advocacy Action Fund gave to Somos PAC · $2.0M
  • American Growth and Opportunity gave to Patriotic Leadership PAC · $13,500
GaveSpent supportingSpent opposingSwipe to see the whole map.

Group

Freedom Caucus Fund

  • Freedom Caucus Fund spent $589K supporting Brandon Herrera$589K
  • Freedom Caucus Fund spent $173K opposing Katy Padilla Stout$173K
  • Freedom Caucus Alliance gave $135K to Freedom Caucus Fund$135K
  • Let's Get to Work PAC gave $84,000 to Freedom Caucus Fund$84,000

Polls

Every poll of this race on one timeline.

Of this race’s 2 polls, 2 ended in March, the newest on 11 Mar 2026.

2polls of this race

in 2026
2
pollster
1

Katy Padilla StoutBrandon Herrera

Public Policy Pollinga party-aligned sponsor paid for it10 Mar to 11 Mar 2026 · 521 adults
DemocraticKaty Padilla Stout40.0%
RepublicanBrandon Herrera42.0%

Point at a dot, or tab in and use the arrow keys

Every poll, newest first

  1. 11 Mar ’26Public Policy Polling a party-aligned sponsor paid for it10 Mar to 11 Mar 2026 · 521 adultsKaty Padilla Stout 40.0%Brandon Herrera 42.0%
  2. 11 Mar ’26Public Policy Polling a party-aligned sponsor paid for it10 Mar to 11 Mar 2026 · 521 registered votersKaty Padilla Stout 40.0%Brandon Herrera 42.0%
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