Race2026 cycle · OtherElection day 3 Nov 2026Updated

Cite this page

DonorAlpha, “Texas 23rd District general 2026”, https://donoralpha.com/races/texas-23rd-district-general-2026?e=c2026&el=undetermined, updated .

Texas 23rd District general 2026

Prediction market7 Oct 2026

Brandon Herrera 63.5% · prediction market price

No. 123 of 527 House races in the 2026 cycle

This race is in the 2026 general election.

The short version

In the 2026 Texas 23rd District general election, 6 outside groups spent $1.5M: $761K supporting Brandon Herrera (R), $268K opposing Brandon Herrera, $103K supporting Katy Padilla Stout (D) and $384K opposing Katy Padilla Stout.

$1.5M

outside money

supporting Brandon Herrera (R)
$761K
opposing Brandon Herrera (R)
$268K
supporting Katy Padilla Stout (D)
$103K
opposing Katy Padilla Stout (D)
$384K

Result not in yet

Election day is 3 Nov 2026.

  • Brandon Herrera

    Republican

    Waiting for the count

  • Katy Padilla Stout

    Democrat

    Waiting for the count

Outside money supporting and opposing each candidate

Both sides on one scale
← OpposingSupporting →
  • Brandon Herrera Republican

    $268K
    $761K

    $761K supporting Brandon Herrera · $268K opposing Brandon Herrera

  • Katy Padilla Stout Democrat

    $384K
    $103K

    $103K supporting Katy Padilla Stout · $384K opposing Katy Padilla Stout

The long version

The candidates

What each candidate’s own campaign raised, beside what outside groups spent supporting and opposing them.

  • Brandon Herrera

    Republican

    Own campaign raised
    $1.9M
    Outside money supporting
    $761K
    Outside money opposing
    $268K
    Brandon Herrera for Congress
  • Katy Padilla Stout

    Democrat

    Own campaign raised
    $485K
    Outside money supporting
    $103K
    Outside money opposing
    $384K
    Katy Padilla Stout for Congress
  • Campaign money to 30 Jun 2026

Week by week

Outside money each week, supporting and opposing the candidates, all candidates combined.

Week of 5 Oct 2026

Opposing $41,968

Supporting candidatesOpposing candidates

The groups on each side

The biggest outside groups in this race, by what they spent supporting or opposing each candidate.

Spent supporting a candidate

  1. Freedom Caucus Fundsupporting Brandon Herrera$589K
  2. No Going Back PACsupporting Brandon Herrera$115K
  3. Somos PACsupporting Katy Padilla Stout$103K
  4. America PACsupporting Brandon Herrera$56,549

Spent opposing a candidate

  1. AB PACopposing Brandon Herrera$268K
  2. Freedom Caucus Fundopposing Katy Padilla Stout$173K
  3. No Going Back PACopposing Katy Padilla Stout$121K
  4. America PACopposing Katy Padilla Stout$86,419
  5. Patriotic Leadership PACopposing Katy Padilla Stout$3,200

Who’s connected to whom

The groups that spent supporting or opposing the candidates.

Their biggest giversGroups that spentCandidatesFreedom Caucus Fund spent $589K supporting Brandon Herrera · $589KAB PAC spent $268K opposing Brandon Herrera · $268KFreedom Caucus Fund spent $173K opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $173KNo Going Back PAC spent $121K opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $121KNo Going Back PAC spent $115K supporting Brandon Herrera · $115KSomos PAC spent $103K supporting Katy Padilla Stout · $103KAmerica PAC spent $86,419 opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $86,419America PAC spent $56,549 supporting Brandon Herrera · $56,549Patriotic Leadership PAC spent $3,200 opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $3,200Freedom Caucus Alliance gave $135K to Freedom Caucus Fund · $135KLet's Get to Work PAC gave $84,000 to Freedom Caucus Fund · $84,000AB Foundation gave $13.0M to AB PAC · $13.0MDemocracy Matters gave $5.6M to AB PAC · $5.6MElevate America gave $2.2M to Somos PAC · $2.2MAdvocacy Action Fund gave $2.0M to Somos PAC · $2.0MAmerican Growth and Opportunity gave $13,500 to Patriotic Leadership PAC · $13,500Freedom Caucus AllianceFreedom Caucus AllianceCompany or group · $135KLet's Get to Work PACLet's Get to Work PACCompany or group · $84,000AB FoundationAB FoundationCompany or group · $13.0MDemocracy MattersDemocracy MattersCompany or group · $5.6MElevate AmericaElevate AmericaCompany or group · $2.2MAdvocacy Action FundAdvocacy Action FundCompany or group · $2.0MAmerican Growth andOpportunityAmerican Growth and OpportunityCompany or group · $13,500Freedom Caucus FundFreedom Caucus FundGroup · $762KAB PACAB PACGroup · $268KNo Going Back PACNo Going Back PACGroup · $236KAmerica PACAmerica PACGroup · $143KSomos PACSomos PACGroup · $103KPatriotic Leadership PACPatriotic Leadership PACGroup · $3,200Brandon HerreraBrandon HerreraCandidate · $1.0MKaty Padilla StoutKaty Padilla StoutCandidate · $487K
  • Freedom Caucus Fund spent supporting Brandon Herrera · $589K
  • AB PAC spent opposing Brandon Herrera · $268K
  • Freedom Caucus Fund spent opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $173K
  • No Going Back PAC spent opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $121K
  • No Going Back PAC spent supporting Brandon Herrera · $115K
  • Somos PAC spent supporting Katy Padilla Stout · $103K
  • America PAC spent opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $86,419
  • America PAC spent supporting Brandon Herrera · $56,549
  • Patriotic Leadership PAC spent opposing Katy Padilla Stout · $3,200
  • Freedom Caucus Alliance gave to Freedom Caucus Fund · $135K
  • Let's Get to Work PAC gave to Freedom Caucus Fund · $84,000
  • AB Foundation gave to AB PAC · $13.0M
  • Democracy Matters gave to AB PAC · $5.6M
  • Elevate America gave to Somos PAC · $2.2M
  • Advocacy Action Fund gave to Somos PAC · $2.0M
  • American Growth and Opportunity gave to Patriotic Leadership PAC · $13,500
GaveSpent supportingSpent opposingSwipe to see the whole map.

Group

Freedom Caucus Fund

  • Freedom Caucus Fund spent $589K supporting Brandon Herrera$589K
  • Freedom Caucus Fund spent $173K opposing Katy Padilla Stout$173K
  • Freedom Caucus Alliance gave $135K to Freedom Caucus Fund$135K
  • Let's Get to Work PAC gave $84,000 to Freedom Caucus Fund$84,000

Polls

Every poll of this race on one timeline.

Of this race’s 2 polls, 2 ended in March, the newest on 11 Mar 2026.

2polls of this race

in 2026
2
pollster
1

Katy Padilla StoutBrandon Herrera

Public Policy Pollinga party-aligned sponsor paid for it10 Mar to 11 Mar 2026 · 521 adults
DemocraticKaty Padilla Stout40.0%
RepublicanBrandon Herrera42.0%

Point at a dot, or tab in and use the arrow keys

Every poll, newest first

  1. 11 Mar ’26Public Policy Polling a party-aligned sponsor paid for it10 Mar to 11 Mar 2026 · 521 adultsKaty Padilla Stout 40.0%Brandon Herrera 42.0%
  2. 11 Mar ’26Public Policy Polling a party-aligned sponsor paid for it10 Mar to 11 Mar 2026 · 521 registered votersKaty Padilla Stout 40.0%Brandon Herrera 42.0%
For reporters, researchers and the professionally curious

Go deeper

The paperwork behind this race, all of it. Free with an email sign-in.

The paperwork

Sign in free with your email

It’s free. We only want your email address. We’ll never ask you to chip in $5.